UA
€/MWhScored days: 10
- MAE
- 26.97
- wMAPE
- 28.3%
- Bias
- -10.43
26.97 vs 26.96 · seasonal-naive benchmark
- MAE
- 32.09
- wMAPE
- 19.8%
- Bias
- -14.95
32.09 vs 33.22 · seasonal-naive benchmark
Ukraine ↔ EU · DAM · IDM · cross-border flows
For traders, risk desks and BESS teams: live OREE DAM/IDM prices, ENTSO-E flows and European day-ahead prices become a forecast band, thresholds and a sourced decision package. You make the call: Alvo never submits orders and never sends data to an external model.
Retrospective check
All hours and the H17–H21 evening peak are shown together.
Measured through · 7-day lag
Scored days: 10
26.97 vs 26.96 · seasonal-naive benchmark
32.09 vs 33.22 · seasonal-naive benchmark
Scored days: 10
35.14 vs 40.65 · seasonal-naive benchmark
42.96 vs 51.08 · seasonal-naive benchmark
Scored days: 10
43.25 · seasonal-naive benchmark: no candidate beat it significantly, so the model we serve is the benchmark itself
57.26 · seasonal-naive benchmark: no candidate beat it significantly, so the model we serve is the benchmark itself
Negative bias — we forecast below the realized price. Positive bias — we forecast above the realized price.
Rolling backtest: forecasts recomputed over historical dates and compared with actuals at a 7-day lag. Not a live signal or a guarantee. Candidate sets differ by market. Forecasts recorded in advance are on the Forecast track record page when published. Model selection: the scored dates were excluded from candidate ranking and promotion.
OREE DAM/IDM prices, ENTSO-E flows and regional EU prices — normalized, with source and update time.
Spreads, volume, thresholds and fees are computed together — you see the action and its calculated result.
The AI brief: summary, risks, anomalies and a checklist for the day. Every number comes from the deterministic engine.
AI briefs, exports and data uploads enter the audit trail — easy to check and show your manager.
Markets & coverage
Spot trading volume grew: 2025 DAM+IDM volume hit 33.51 TWh, +21.95% vs 2024 — a second consecutive year above +20%. OREE annual report ·
Official OREE prices, spread plan, and an AI brief for every hour.
OREE intraday prices next to DAM — to adjust the plan during the day.
A day-ahead price forecast with an uncertainty band, checked against history.
An imbalance-risk signal from Ukrenergo settled imbalance prices via Energy Map — so you can adjust the position in time.
State of charge, cycles, degradation and a charge/discharge schedule over live DAM prices. For reserves the planner uses illustrative assumptions, not market data.
Workflow
Official OREE DAM and IDM prices load automatically.
The algorithm selects cheap and expensive hours using thresholds, fees and limits.
The AI brief gives a short summary, risks, anomalies and a checklist for the day.
The plan exports to CSV and key actions enter the audit trail.
Roadmap
DAM and IDM, the forecast band, imbalance-risk signal, AI brief, BESS planning, export and audit trail.
The planner still runs FCR/aFRR/mFRR economics on illustrative assumptions, not market data.
We add EU bidding zones one at a time, after data, licence and forecast-accuracy checks. API keys for external systems come later.
Security & compliance
Alvo records data, calculations and key actions so every decision can be checked.
Free with an account
No payment, no card: register and the whole workspace is open. Questions: [email protected].
API
During the beta the API works with your account session; integration keys come later.
Request template for the Alvo API
GET /api/forecast?month=MM.YYYY&market=DAMResponse excerpt when no forecast is available
{
"market": "DAM",
"zone": "IPS",
"forecast": null
}FAQ
No. Alvo is decision support: analysis, explanation, export and an audit trail. The trader submits orders.
Usually not for analytics software, but electricity trading and representing a market participant require separate legal review.
DAM and IDM prices come from official Market Operator (OREE) publications. Flows come from ENTSO-E, regional EU day-ahead prices from openly licensed sources, and imbalance prices from Ukrenergo via Energy Map. You can upload your own series as CSV.
AI compresses the market into a few lines: summary, risks, anomalies and a checklist for the day. Every number comes from the deterministic engine, so it can be reproduced and checked.
Alvo is free for now: register and open the workspace. We are not taking payments yet — we are building up market data and learning from real use.
One free account opens the whole workspace: DAM/IDM prices, the forecast band, the AI brief, BESS planning, export and the audit trail.